Time-Ly Trend Continues

Time, Inc. is continuing the downsizing trend among the major mainstream media.

In just the last few months:

Gawker media has a good take on this, as does Jeff Jarvis, from his experience having worked at People.

Gawker has an interesting bit of cover art, taking off on Time’s recent Person of the Year:

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I Dare You!

…to read this book by William Danforth (1870-1956), founder of the Ralston Purina Company, and grandfather of former U.S. Sen. John Danforth. I’ve just had the delight of finishing it after my assistant, Laurie Mona, passed it along to me last week. She had found it quite interesting and challenging, so have I, and I think you will, too.

Mr. Danforth attributed much of his direction and success in life to a challenge from one of his teachers, when he was a sickly young boy: “I dare you to be the healthiest boy in the class.” Through this experience he learned the power of a dare to create courage and single-minded focus, to get people out of their ruts. As he summarizes it:

My practical experience has convinced me that inner growth and broadening personality come from daring and sharing. You dare to use the talents you have. You find yourself growing stronger — physically, mentally, socially and spiritually. You multiply your daring a hundredfold by sharing its fruits. You give your life away and, behold! a richer life comes back to you. This principle works through all of life:

Our most valuable possessions are those which can be shared without lessening: those which, when shared, multiply. Our least valuable possessions are those which when divided are diminished.

So, in keeping with that philosophy, I’m sharing a bit with you, as Laurie did with me.
Danforth dares the reader to adventure and action, starting with his four-square checkerboard philosophy of a balanced life (which explains the checkerboard motif on all those Purina dog-food bags.) The four sides of his checker are the physical, mental, social and spiritual, and he says when they are out of proportion we cannot become our best. And so he dares us to grow in each of these dimensions.

Here’s just one example — from “I DARE YOU TO THINK CREATIVELY” — that highlights what is compelling about this book, which was written in 1931, in the early years of the Great Depression:

 The Edisons and the Marconis were the long range thinkers of yesterday. Wanted–some long range thinkers today. Where yesterday a hundred new inventions were made, a thousand new ones will be made tomorrow and some of you who read this message will dare to make them. I read an article not long ago where sombody prophesied conditions twenty years from now. Our homes would be artificially cooled in the summer just as they are artificially heated in the winter. Transportation will be just as different from today as today is from the gay ’90’s. People will dress differently, think differently, live differently. Are you leaders going to sit back and wait for yourselves to be adapted to these conditions? Or are you going to be one of those who help bring about these changes?

How amazed would Mr. Danforth be if he had lived to see today? As one who dreamed of air conditioning, how would he react to video cameras, DVDs, cell phones, PDAs and the internet? One thing I can confidently predict: he would issue the same challenge, but updated for our time. “Who will be the next Gates or Jobs? Who will develop the next Google?”

You’ll also find his language somewhat dated, hopefully in an amusing sort of way. In addition to his admonition to walk a mile a day in the fresh air, he advises daily calisthenics to “squeeze that liver.” But until you’ve had the success of a Danforth, it’s probably best not to laugh too quickly, but instead see what you can learn from him.

In I Dare You! you’ll also find some nuggets of practical wisdom I’ve noted in more contemporary books. Like David Allen in Getting Things Done, Danforth advises continually carrying a small notebook to capture creative ideas, even keeping one by his nightstand. Like Jim Collins in Good to Great, he extols the value of a “Magnificant Obsession” – or what Collins calls a Big Hairy Audacious Goal.

You can get the book on Amazon, or from the foundation established by Mr. Danforth.

I Dare You!

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A Septuagenarian Blogger

The Washington Post has an article about hotel CEO J.W. “Bill” Marriott and his new blog.

Right now, his is the only Marriott blog, and he dictates his posts into a tape recorder for transcribing. But it’s pretty clearly not just PR spin; you can also listen to the audio version, and these are his thoughts and reflections that are being converted to text.

So if a blog with video is called a vlog, what’s a blog with audio? An alog?

It will be interesting to see where they take this, and whether other employees such as hotel managers start blogging.

They seem to have thought through some of the implications of having a public blog, as indicated in their terms of use when you add a comment. Comments are moderated, and they say that just as they would ask someone to leave if they were shouting at the top of his lungs in their hotel lobby, they are going to expect decorum in the blog.

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More for Your (No) Money

For several months, I’ve thought it was odd that YouTube and Blip.tv let users upload an unlimited number of videos for free, and just put a 100 megabyte limit on each video, while Flickr has a 20 megabyte per month limit on its free service (more than that costs extra.)

Clearly, Flickr was operating more like a traditional business, offering a low level of free service, but then charging for heavy users, whereas YouTube was giving it all away all the time to generate maximum traffic. So, I was working around it by taking screen shots of my photo files (such as those of my daughter’s wedding below), and then uploading them to Flickr, reducing the file sizes by 90 percent or so. And since I was only using Flickr for blogging, I didn’t need the super high resolution.

So, when I was uploading some full-size photos earlier this month, I was shocked to see that after uploading several pictures I had used only 6% of my montly allotment…which led me to see the limit had been raised to 100 megabytes.

So, now Flickr is an even better value: instead of 20 megabytes for nothing, you get 100 megabytes. That’s a lot more for your (no) money.

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Newspaper Half-Price Sale

Star Tribune logo

I’m maybe a little late to notice this (I’ll hide behind the excuse of my daughter’s wedding), but it’s interesting to see that in just eight years, the Minneapolis Star Tribune has lost half its value, as the paper reported December 27:

The McClatchy Co. capped a year of dramatic changes in the newspaper industry Tuesday by announcing the surprise sale of the Star Tribune, its largest newspaper, to a private investment group.

The $530 million sale will place the future of Minnesota’s dominant newspaper in the hands of Avista Capital Partners, a New York-based partnership of former investment bankers. It also continues a trend that accelerated this year in which large newspaper companies, such as McClatchy, Knight Ridder and Tribune, either winnowed their holdings or put themselves up for sale. Private owners have emerged to bid for many of the big-city papers that have come into play as a result.

McClatchy paid $1.2 billion for the newspaper in 1998. Although its circulation and advertising results in the past several years had run into the same headwinds that other large dailies have encountered, the Star Tribune remains solidly profitable.

McClatchy, in explaining its decision, said the Star Tribune had been underperforming in recent years.

“The Star Tribune did very well for a few years, but recently it has lagged in performance,” McClatchy CEO Gary Pruitt said. “Large metro papers have underperformed smaller ones because they’ve been more dependent on classified ads, which have been most affected by the Internet. The Star Tribune suffered from that.”

While the sale price is far less than McClatchy paid in 1998, the company will also realize $160 million in tax benefits as a result, making the total benefit to McClatchy closer to $700 million.

If anyone doubts that the mainstream media are facing significant economic problems, this is further evidence that is consistent with my posts about circulation and audience declines and layoffs here and here.

Some have suggested that the interesting trend is private firms taking these large public media companies private…that the quarterly earnings focus of publicly traded companies doesn’t let them make the investments they need to transform themselves and flourish in the world of new media. See, for example, Clear Channel being taken private.

That’s an interesting idea, but this recent sale of the Star Tribune gives a rare barometer of the overall health of the old media. Going from a value of $1.2 billion to $530 million in just eight years is a 56 percent loss. Now, some would say that’s not taking into account the tax savings McClatchy gets for selling at a loss…which brings the value to McClatchy of the transaction to $700 million. That brings the loss to “only” 42 percent.

I believe McClatchy is a good capitalist company seeking to maximize value for shareholders, and would have sold to other firms if they had offered more than $530 million. Maybe with the end of the year approaching, McClatchy was a motivated seller, and in the urge to consummate the deal didn’t drive as hard a bargain with Avista as it would have otherwise.

Maybe McClatchy could have gotten a better price if it had advertised the paper for sale on Craig’s List.

As the story says, the Star Tribune does have the dominant position among newspapers in a top-15 market, and I have no reason to doubt that it remains profitable.

But apparently it’s about half as profitable as it was in 1998.

“I’m here today because my partners at Avista and I believe unequivocally that the Star Tribune is one of the great newspapers in the country and that the Twin Cities is one of the great markets,” said Chris Harte, a member of Avista’s executive advisory board and a former Knight Ridder publisher, who will act as chairman of the board of directors at the Star Tribune.

If a profitable, “great” newspaper in a “great” market is dropping this quickly in value, what’s the outlook for papers elsewhere?

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